11 Comments
User's avatar
Srinivas Paulraj's avatar

Projected market cap is 55500 in 2033

From 2023, market cap is 49100

Given cagr is 1.5, my value is 1.23

From 2020, market cap is 190000

Given cagr is 12, my value is 8.52

Please explain the calculation you have done as i did thru excel in a complex process and correct me if i have calculated wrong. Thanks in advance for helping me in the journey of financial independence.

Expand full comment
Budget Tiger's avatar

1.5% cagr for 10 years is 1.16 times. 1.5% is a rounding of %. 12% cagr for 10 years is 3.10 times.

Expand full comment
Srinivas Paulraj's avatar

Sir please give formula of how you calculate this or what if it is 4% and 8% cagr will make the capital

Expand full comment
Budget Tiger's avatar

Formula in excel is Power(1+cagr,no of years). For example Power(1.12,10) for 12% cagr for 10 years.

Expand full comment
Srinivas Paulraj's avatar

Perfect. Thanks a lot sir.

Expand full comment
Dan's avatar

One more doubt piqued in my head while going through this amazing Fragility Score Card. Are there any particular sectors that I should be aware of where this Score Card cant be applied.

Expand full comment
Budget Tiger's avatar

The score card wont work for Financial services company which are into lending as normal financial ratios dont work for the sector. However, I tried explaining about the sector in my earlier post https://www.budgetiger.in/p/the-fall-of-svb-bank-signature-bank

Expand full comment
Dan's avatar

Thanks for the clarification Ramachandra ☺️ Will definitely give this thread a read ✨

Expand full comment
Dan's avatar

Hi Ramachandra 👋

I was trying to wrap my head around the calculation in the following sentence

"Projected Mrkt Cap by present Mrkt Cap is 1.13 times which implies a CAGR of hardly 1.5% on our investment"

Can you please explain how 1.5% CAGR was arrived at?

Thanks in advance

Expand full comment
Budget Tiger's avatar

1.5% is a round off number. To put it in simple terms without compounding effect, 1.5% multiplied by 10 times (for 10 years) is 15% which means 1.15 times our present investment in 10 years. Hope this clarifies the doubt.

Expand full comment
Dan's avatar

Thanks for the explanation 🤝

Expand full comment